The PP has many options to revalidate the absolute majority in Andalusia, according to the CIS pre-election study on the regional elections on May 17. The candidate for re-election, the popular Juan Manuel Moreno Bonilla, would obtain between 51 and 59 seats, with 55 being the figure that the Center for Sociological Research sees with the greatest probability. The PSOE, which in the last regional elections obtained 30 deputies, is in a range of between 27 and 34, with 31 being the most probable number; Vox, which has 14 seats in the Andalusian parliament, would obtain between 8 and 17, with 13 being the most likely figure for the CIS. The estimate for Adelante Andalucía is between 5 and 7 deputies and that of Por Andalucía, between 4 and 5.
The acting president of the Junta de Andalucía rejects his party’s coalition government pacts with Vox in Extremadura and Aragón and aspires to revalidate the absolute majority with which he has governed the region since 2022, after more than three decades of socialist governments.
The CIS barometer published last Monday pointed, contrary to most surveys, to a victory for the PSOE if the general elections were held today, with up to 13 points ahead of the PP. The Sociological Research Center, chaired by José Félix Tezanos, former member of the PSOE executive, tends to overestimate the left in its surveys, according to the analysis carried out by this newspaper.
